SquashLevels calculations
Stephen Hunt v Chris Bartlett (Wed 17 May 2017)
Match won by Chris Bartlett. Result: 15-8,7-15,8-15,8-15.
Starting level for
Stephen Hunt:
1,733, level confidence: 59%.
Starting level for
Chris Bartlett:
2,269, level confidence: 67%.
Chris Bartlett to win as he is currently playing
31% better than Stephen Hunt.
Chris Bartlett won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 39% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Chris Bartlett played
30% better than Stephen Hunt in this match.
In this case, Chris Bartlett played at level 2,249 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Stephen Hunt is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Chris Bartlett: 82%, Stephen Hunt: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Chris Bartlett: 82%, Stephen Hunt: 76%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Stephen Hunt:
1,730, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Chris Bartlett:
2,266, level confidence: 82%.