SquashLevels calculations
Stuart Hibbert v Rob Heasman (Wed 17 May 2017)
Match won by Stuart Hibbert. Result: 17-15,7-15,15-2,15-13.
Starting level for
Stuart Hibbert:
3,674, level confidence: 56%.
Starting level for
Rob Heasman:
2,935, level confidence: 62%.
Stuart Hibbert to win as he is currently playing
25% better than Rob Heasman.
Stuart Hibbert won 75% of the games and 55% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 20% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Stuart Hibbert played
23% better than Rob Heasman in this match.
In this case, Stuart Hibbert played at level 3,620 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Rob Heasman is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Stuart Hibbert: 75%, Rob Heasman: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Stuart Hibbert: 74%, Rob Heasman: 78%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Stuart Hibbert:
3,669, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Rob Heasman:
2,931, level confidence: 78%.