SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Matt Wilkinson v Archie Lipyeat (Thu 08 Jun 2017)

Match won by Matt Wilkinson. Result: 15-8,15-11,15-2.

Starting level for Matt Wilkinson: 2,472, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Archie Lipyeat: 1,328, level confidence: 49%.
Matt Wilkinson to win as he is currently playing 86% better than Archie Lipyeat.

Matt Wilkinson won all of the games and 68% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 114% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Matt Wilkinson played 114% better than Archie Lipyeat in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Matt Wilkinson actually played at a level of 2,652 and Archie Lipyeat at a level of 1,238. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 7.3% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.3% and 5.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Matt Wilkinson changes to +3.9% and Archie Lipyeat changes to -5.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Matt Wilkinson becomes +2.5% and for Archie Lipyeat becomes -3.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Surrey Summer League 2017' so the adjustment for Matt Wilkinson is +1.6% and for Archie Lipyeat is -2.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Matt Wilkinson: 81%, Archie Lipyeat: 70%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Matt Wilkinson: 76%, Archie Lipyeat: 65%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Matt Wilkinson: 2,508, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Archie Lipyeat: 1,295, level confidence: 65%.