SquashLevels calculations
Babatunde Fajemisin v Archie Lipyeat (Mon 19 Jun 2017)
Match won by Archie Lipyeat. Result: 14-16,9-15,6-15.
Starting level for
Babatunde Fajemisin:
801, level confidence: 10%.
Starting level for
Archie Lipyeat:
1,301, level confidence: 62%.
Archie Lipyeat to win as he is currently playing
62% better than Babatunde Fajemisin.
Archie Lipyeat won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 59% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Archie Lipyeat played
57% better than Babatunde Fajemisin in this match.
In this case, Archie Lipyeat played at level 1,261 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Babatunde Fajemisin is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Archie Lipyeat: 79%, Babatunde Fajemisin: 32%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Archie Lipyeat: 77%, Babatunde Fajemisin: 31%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Babatunde Fajemisin:
800, level confidence: 31%.
Final level for Archie Lipyeat:
1,299, level confidence: 77%.