SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Rob Heasman v James Shattock (Tue 11 Jul 2017)

Match won by Rob Heasman. Result: 17-15,15-9,15-12.

Starting level for Rob Heasman: 3,219, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for James Shattock: 2,120, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Rob Heasman to win as he is currently playing 52% better than James Shattock.

Rob Heasman won all of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 31% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Rob Heasman played 39% better than James Shattock in this match.

In this case, Rob Heasman played at level 2,997 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Rob Heasman would normally have been playing at level 3,056 (based on typical behaviour), James Shattock played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 2%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 1.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Rob Heasman changes to 0% and James Shattock changes to +1.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Rob Heasman becomes 0% and for James Shattock becomes +1.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Surrey Summer League 2017' so the adjustment for Rob Heasman is 0% and for James Shattock is +0.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rob Heasman: 83%, James Shattock: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rob Heasman: 80%, James Shattock: 83%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Rob Heasman: 3,214, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for James Shattock: 2,132, level confidence: 83%.