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Chris Bartlett v Stephen Hunt (Wed 12 Jul 2017)

Match won by Chris Bartlett. Result: 15-11,15-13,15-6.

Starting level for Chris Bartlett: 2,294, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for Stephen Hunt: 1,727, level confidence: 68%.
Chris Bartlett to win as he is currently playing 33% better than Stephen Hunt.

Chris Bartlett won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Chris Bartlett played 52% better than Stephen Hunt in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Chris Bartlett actually played at a level of 2,451 and Stephen Hunt at a level of 1,616. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 6.8% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.9% and 5.9% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Chris Bartlett changes to +5.9% and Stephen Hunt changes to -5.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Chris Bartlett becomes +3.3% and for Stephen Hunt becomes -3.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Surrey Summer League 2017' so the adjustment for Chris Bartlett is +2.1% and for Stephen Hunt is -2.2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Chris Bartlett: 79%, Stephen Hunt: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Chris Bartlett: 74%, Stephen Hunt: 77%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Chris Bartlett: 2,339, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Stephen Hunt: 1,687, level confidence: 77%.