SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Rob Heasman v Theo Mayes (Tue 15 Aug 2017)

Match won by Rob Heasman. Result: 15-13,15-13,6-15,15-12.

Starting level for Rob Heasman: 3,004, level confidence: 90%. Set manually.
Starting level for Theo Mayes: 2,999, level confidence: 67%.
Rob Heasman to win as he is currently playing 0% better than Theo Mayes.

Rob Heasman won 75% of the games and 49% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 4% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Rob Heasman played 16% better than Theo Mayes in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Rob Heasman actually played at a level of 3,226 and Theo Mayes at a level of 2,793. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 7.4% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Rob Heasman changes to +5.5% and Theo Mayes changes to -7.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Rob Heasman becomes +2.8% and for Theo Mayes becomes -3.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Surrey Summer League 2017' so the adjustment for Rob Heasman is +1.8% and for Theo Mayes is -2.2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rob Heasman: 95%, Theo Mayes: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rob Heasman: 88%, Theo Mayes: 76%.

A final adjustment of +0.4% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Rob Heasman: 3,067, level confidence: 88%.
Final level for Theo Mayes: 2,946, level confidence: 76%.