SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Steve Mallett v Mike McElhatton (Sat 16 Sep 2017)

Match won by Steve Mallett. Result: 8-11,11-9,11-7,13-11.

Starting level for Steve Mallett: 1,581, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for Mike McElhatton: 1,690, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Mike McElhatton to win as he is currently playing 7% better than Steve Mallett.

Steve Mallett won 75% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 13% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Steve Mallett played 21% better than Mike McElhatton in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Steve Mallett actually played at a level of 1,799 and Mike McElhatton at a level of 1,485. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 14% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Steve Mallett changes to +13% and Mike McElhatton changes to -11%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Steve Mallett becomes +6.6% and for Mike McElhatton becomes -5.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Surrey Vets Winter 2017/18' so the adjustment for Steve Mallett is +5% and for Mike McElhatton is -4.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Steve Mallett: 82%, Mike McElhatton: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Steve Mallett: 72%, Mike McElhatton: 77%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Steve Mallett: 1,657, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Mike McElhatton: 1,618, level confidence: 77%.