SquashLevels calculations
Abdullah Al Muzayen v Muhammad Abdul Qadir (Thu 23 Nov 2017)
Match won by Abdullah Al Muzayen. Result: 11-0,11-6,11-3.
Starting level for
Abdullah Al Muzayen:
23,105, level confidence: 41%.
Starting level for
Muhammad Abdul Qadir:
4,955, level confidence: 54%.
Abdullah Al Muzayen to win as he is currently playing
366% better than Muhammad Abdul Qadir.
Abdullah Al Muzayen won all of the games and 79% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 267% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Abdullah Al Muzayen played
267% better than Muhammad Abdul Qadir in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Abdullah Al Muzayen was taking it easy by anything up to 40%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 7,367 and 23,105 without affecting his level.
In this case, Abdullah Al Muzayen played at level 18,168 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Muhammad Abdul Qadir is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Abdullah Al Muzayen: 64%, Muhammad Abdul Qadir: 74%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Abdullah Al Muzayen: 57%, Muhammad Abdul Qadir: 65%.
Final level for Abdullah Al Muzayen:
23,105, level confidence: 57%.
Final level for Muhammad Abdul Qadir:
4,955, level confidence: 65%.