SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Abdullah Al Muzayen v Valentin Rapp (Tue 19 Dec 2017)

Match won by Abdullah Al Muzayen. Result: 11-1,11-4,11-5.

Starting level for Abdullah Al Muzayen: 24,778, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Valentin Rapp: 17,910, level confidence: 84%. Set manually.
Abdullah Al Muzayen to win as he is currently playing 38% better than Valentin Rapp.

Abdullah Al Muzayen won all of the games and 77% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 230% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Abdullah Al Muzayen played 230% better than Valentin Rapp in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Abdullah Al Muzayen actually played at a level of 38,268 and Valentin Rapp at a level of 11,596. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 54% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 45% and 45% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Abdullah Al Muzayen changes to +45% and Valentin Rapp changes to -37%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Abdullah Al Muzayen becomes +8.7% and for Valentin Rapp becomes -8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Ksf Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Abdullah Al Muzayen is limited to +6.1% and Valentin Rapp is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Abdullah Al Muzayen: 86%, Valentin Rapp: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Abdullah Al Muzayen: 56%, Valentin Rapp: 59%.

A final adjustment of +0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Abdullah Al Muzayen: 26,286, level confidence: 56%.
Final level for Valentin Rapp: 17,231, level confidence: 59%.