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Max Sutton-Parker v Andres Ballesteros (Sun 10 Dec 2017)

Match won by Max Sutton-Parker. Result: 11-5,11-1,11-6.

Starting level for Max Sutton-Parker: 1,124, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for Andres Ballesteros: 332, level confidence: 59%.
Max Sutton-Parker to win as he is currently playing 239% better than Andres Ballesteros.

Max Sutton-Parker won all of the games and 73% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 175% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Max Sutton-Parker played 175% better than Andres Ballesteros in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Max Sutton-Parker was taking it easy by anything up to 29%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 520 and 1,124 without affecting his level.

In this case, Max Sutton-Parker played at level 913 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Andres Ballesteros is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Max Sutton-Parker: 82%, Andres Ballesteros: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Max Sutton-Parker: 74%, Andres Ballesteros: 69%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Max Sutton-Parker: 1,127, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Andres Ballesteros: 333, level confidence: 69%.