SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Harry Leitch v Jack Mitterer (Wed 31 Jan 2018)

Match won by Harry Leitch. Result: 11-8,13-11,11-6.

Starting level for Harry Leitch: 12,200, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jack Mitterer: 6,552, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Harry Leitch to win as he is currently playing 86% better than Jack Mitterer.

Harry Leitch won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 40% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Harry Leitch played 45% better than Jack Mitterer in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Harry Leitch was taking it easy by anything up to 10%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 9,597 and 12,200 without affecting his level.

As Harry Leitch has played below his allowed range at 9,547, his level reduction is 0.5% before damping. On the assumption that Harry Leitch would normally have been playing at level 10,966 (based on typical behaviour), Jack Mitterer played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 7.5%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0.4% and 5.4% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Harry Leitch changes to -0.4% and Jack Mitterer changes to +5.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Harry Leitch becomes -0.2% and for Jack Mitterer becomes +2.2%.

Given Harry Leitch's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 23% has been applied to his level change.

Given Jack Mitterer's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 6.2% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Surrey Winter League 2017/18' so the adjustment for Harry Leitch is 0% and for Jack Mitterer is +1.6%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Harry Leitch: 85%, Jack Mitterer: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Harry Leitch: 75%, Jack Mitterer: 78%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Harry Leitch: 12,168, level confidence: 75%.
Final level for Jack Mitterer: 6,644, level confidence: 78%.