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Simon Stone v Roger Booker (Fri 25 May 2018)

Match won by Simon Stone. Result: 3-0.

Starting level for Simon Stone: 1,077, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Roger Booker: 1,063, level confidence: 57%.
Simon Stone to win as he is currently playing 1% better than Roger Booker.

Simon Stone won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Simon Stone actually played at a level of 1,415 and Roger Booker at a level of 809. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 31% to match this result.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 17%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Simon Stone changes to +13% and Roger Booker changes to -17%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Simon Stone becomes +7.8% and for Roger Booker becomes -9.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Henley Internal League' so the adjustment for Simon Stone is +3.9% and for Roger Booker is -4.5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Simon Stone: 85%, Roger Booker: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Simon Stone: 65%, Roger Booker: 58%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Simon Stone: 1,117, level confidence: 65%.
Final level for Roger Booker: 1,016, level confidence: 58%.