SquashLevels calculations
James Mortimer v Jeannie Engela (Tue 29 May 2018)
Match won by James Mortimer. Result: 3-0.
Starting level for
James Mortimer:
249, level confidence: 70%.
Starting level for
Jeannie Engela:
141, level confidence: 63%.
James Mortimer to win as he is currently playing
77% better than Jeannie Engela.
James Mortimer won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.
In this case, James Mortimer played at level 247 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Jeannie Engela is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.
As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Mortimer: 84%, Jeannie Engela: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Mortimer: 83%, Jeannie Engela: 79%.
Final level for James Mortimer:
249, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Jeannie Engela:
141, level confidence: 79%.