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Tom Tuite-Dalton v Charles Gent (Tue 19 Jun 2018)

Match won by Tom Tuite-Dalton. Result: 9-4,9-4,9-0.

Starting level for Tom Tuite-Dalton: 1,565, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Charles Gent: 861, level confidence: 64%.
Tom Tuite-Dalton to win as he is currently playing 82% better than Charles Gent.

Tom Tuite-Dalton won all of the games and 77% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 86% (english scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tom Tuite-Dalton played 86% better than Charles Gent in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Tom Tuite-Dalton actually played at a level of 1,583 and Charles Gent at a level of 851. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.2% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0.9% and 0.9% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tom Tuite-Dalton changes to +0.7% and Charles Gent changes to -0.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tom Tuite-Dalton becomes +0.6% and for Charles Gent becomes -0.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Oxfordshire Mens Summer League 2018' so the adjustment for Tom Tuite-Dalton is +0.4% and for Charles Gent is -0.6%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tom Tuite-Dalton: 90%, Charles Gent: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tom Tuite-Dalton: 89%, Charles Gent: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tom Tuite-Dalton: 1,568, level confidence: 89%.
Final level for Charles Gent: 855, level confidence: 79%.