SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Oscar Hill v Jason Blue (Sun 29 Jul 2018)

Match won by Oscar Hill. Result: 11-9,9-11,11-5,11-6.

Starting level for Oscar Hill: 3,956, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for Jason Blue: 3,820, level confidence: 57%.
Oscar Hill to win as he is currently playing 4% better than Jason Blue.

Oscar Hill won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 35% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Oscar Hill played 28% better than Jason Blue in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Oscar Hill actually played at a level of 4,406 and Jason Blue at a level of 3,430. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 11% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Oscar Hill changes to +10.1% and Jason Blue changes to -11%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Oscar Hill becomes +4% and for Jason Blue becomes -4.4%.

Given Oscar Hill's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 90% has been applied to his level change.

Given Jason Blue's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 87% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 40% for 'Club match' so the adjustment for Oscar Hill is +0.8% and for Jason Blue is -0.9%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Oscar Hill: 79%, Jason Blue: 75%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Oscar Hill: 71%, Jason Blue: 68%.

Final level for Oscar Hill: 3,989, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Jason Blue: 3,785, level confidence: 68%.