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Julia Bishop v Ray Owens (Tue 31 Jul 2018)

Match won by Julia Bishop. Result: 3-1.

Starting level for Julia Bishop: 342, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for Ray Owens: 266, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Julia Bishop to win as he is currently playing 29% better than Ray Owens.

Julia Bishop won 75% of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

In this case, Julia Bishop played at level 334 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Julia Bishop would normally have been playing at level 335 (based on typical behaviour), Ray Owens played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 0.4%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Julia Bishop changes to 0% and Ray Owens changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Julia Bishop becomes 0% and for Ray Owens becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Henley Internal League' so the adjustment for Julia Bishop is 0% and for Ray Owens is 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Julia Bishop: 83%, Ray Owens: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Julia Bishop: 82%, Ray Owens: 88%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Julia Bishop: 341, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Ray Owens: 266, level confidence: 88%.