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Jason Street v Duncan Whale (Tue 31 Jul 2018)

Match won by Jason Street. Result: 3-0.

Starting level for Jason Street: 804, level confidence: 84%. Set manually.
Starting level for Duncan Whale: 862, level confidence: 88%. Set manually.
Duncan Whale to win as he is currently playing 7% better than Jason Street.

Jason Street won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jason Street actually played at a level of 1,101 and Duncan Whale at a level of 629. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 37% to match this result.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 19%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jason Street changes to +19% and Duncan Whale changes to -18%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jason Street becomes +10.7% and for Duncan Whale becomes -10.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Henley Internal League' so the adjustment for Jason Street is +5.3% and for Duncan Whale is -4.9%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jason Street: 92%, Duncan Whale: 94%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jason Street: 67%, Duncan Whale: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jason Street: 846, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Duncan Whale: 821, level confidence: 69%.