SquashLevels calculations
Julia Bishop v Ray Owens (Fri 17 Aug 2018)
Match won by Julia Bishop. Result: 3-1.
Starting level for
Julia Bishop:
339, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for
Ray Owens:
266, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Julia Bishop to win as he is currently playing
27% better than Ray Owens.
Julia Bishop won 75% of the games. There are no points scores.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.
In this case, Julia Bishop played at level 333 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Ray Owens is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Julia Bishop: 82%, Ray Owens: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Julia Bishop: 82%, Ray Owens: 90%.
Final level for Julia Bishop:
339, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Ray Owens:
266, level confidence: 90%.