SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Barry Carson v Ray Owens (Wed 29 Aug 2018)

Match won by Barry Carson. Result: 3-0.

Starting level for Barry Carson: 404, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ray Owens: 262, level confidence: 86%. Set manually.
Barry Carson to win as he is currently playing 54% better than Ray Owens.

Barry Carson won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Barry Carson actually played at a level of 430 and Ray Owens at a level of 246. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 6.5% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.2% and 5.2% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 3%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Barry Carson changes to +3% and Ray Owens changes to -2.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Barry Carson becomes +3% and for Ray Owens becomes -2.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Henley Internal League' so the adjustment for Barry Carson is +1.5% and for Ray Owens is -1.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Barry Carson: 90%, Ray Owens: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Barry Carson: 85%, Ray Owens: 87%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Barry Carson: 409, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Ray Owens: 258, level confidence: 87%.