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Eain Yow Ng v Yew Sing Timothy Leong (Tue 28 Aug 2018)

Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 11-5,11-2,11-2.

Starting level for Eain Yow Ng: 30,035, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Yew Sing Timothy Leong: 9,897, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing 203% better than Yew Sing Timothy Leong.

Eain Yow Ng won all of the games and 79% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 267% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played 267% better than Yew Sing Timothy Leong in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Eain Yow Ng actually played at a level of 33,014 and Yew Sing Timothy Leong at a level of 9,004. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 9.9% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.6% and 5.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng changes to +5.6% and Yew Sing Timothy Leong changes to -5.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng becomes +1.7% and for Yew Sing Timothy Leong becomes -2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Asian Team Games Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 86%, Yew Sing Timothy Leong: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 78%, Yew Sing Timothy Leong: 81%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Eain Yow Ng: 30,502, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Yew Sing Timothy Leong: 9,685, level confidence: 81%.