Eain Yow Ng v Phuwis Poonsiri (Tue 28 Aug 2018)
Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 11-2,11-3,11-4.
Starting level for
Eain Yow Ng:
30,431, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Phuwis Poonsiri:
7,404, level confidence: 34%.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing
311% better than Phuwis Poonsiri.
Eain Yow Ng won all of the games and 79% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 267% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played
267% better than Phuwis Poonsiri in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Eain Yow Ng was taking it easy by anything up to 35%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 12,722 and 30,431 without affecting his level.
In this case, Eain Yow Ng played at level 27,148 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Phuwis Poonsiri is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 88%, Phuwis Poonsiri: 58%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 84%, Phuwis Poonsiri: 55%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Eain Yow Ng:
30,385, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Phuwis Poonsiri:
7,393, level confidence: 55%.