SquashLevels calculations
Liam Townsend v Jas Singh (Thu 13 Sep 2018)
Match won by Liam Townsend. Result: 11-3,6-11,11-2.
Starting level for
Liam Townsend:
858, level confidence: 36%.
Starting level for
Jas Singh:
562, level confidence: 55%.
Liam Townsend to win as he is currently playing
53% better than Jas Singh.
Liam Townsend won 67% of the games and 64% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 20%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 75% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Liam Townsend played
48% better than Jas Singh in this match.
In this case, Liam Townsend played at level 829 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Jas Singh is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Liam Townsend: 60%, Jas Singh: 74%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Liam Townsend: 59%, Jas Singh: 73%.
A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Liam Townsend:
860, level confidence: 59%.
Final level for Jas Singh:
563, level confidence: 73%.