SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Freddie Davis v Angus Goddard (Sun 16 Sep 2018)

Match won by Freddie Davis. Result: 12-10,11-6.

Starting level for Freddie Davis: 398, level confidence: 38%.
Starting level for Angus Goddard: 229, level confidence: 40%.
Freddie Davis to win as he is currently playing 74% better than Angus Goddard.

Freddie Davis won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 44% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Freddie Davis played 47% better than Angus Goddard in this match.

In this case, Freddie Davis played at level 351 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Freddie Davis would normally have been playing at level 365 (based on typical behaviour), Angus Goddard played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 4%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 3% respectively.
As this is a best of 3 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 2.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Freddie Davis changes to 0% and Angus Goddard changes to +2.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Freddie Davis becomes 0% and for Angus Goddard becomes +2.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Kent Junior Closed 2018' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Freddie Davis: 62%, Angus Goddard: 63%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Freddie Davis: 57%, Angus Goddard: 58%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Freddie Davis: 399, level confidence: 57%.
Final level for Angus Goddard: 235, level confidence: 58%.