SquashLevels calculations
Rick Scannell v Hannah Elliott (Sun 30 Sep 2018)
Match won by Rick Scannell. Result: 3-0.
Starting level for
Rick Scannell:
262, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for
Hannah Elliott:
109, level confidence: 24%.
Rick Scannell to win as he is currently playing
140% better than Hannah Elliott.
Rick Scannell won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Rick Scannell was taking it easy by anything up to 17%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 162 and 262 without affecting his level.
In this case, Rick Scannell played at level 203 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Rick Scannell would normally have been playing at level 216 (based on typical behaviour), Hannah Elliott played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 6.5%.
Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 4.1% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 2.3%.
As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rick Scannell: 79%, Hannah Elliott: 49%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rick Scannell: 67%, Hannah Elliott: 41%.
Final level for Rick Scannell:
262, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Hannah Elliott:
109, level confidence: 41%.