SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

David O'Neill v David Freer (Mon 01 Oct 2018)

Match won by David O'Neill. Result: 11-7,11-8,11-2.

Starting level for David O'Neill: 1,572, level confidence: 46%.
Starting level for David Freer: 1,522, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
David O'Neill to win as he is currently playing 3% better than David Freer.

David O'Neill won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David O'Neill played 94% better than David Freer in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like David O'Neill actually played at a level of 2,155 and David Freer at a level of 1,110. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 37% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for David O'Neill changes to +36% and David Freer changes to -21%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for David O'Neill becomes +15.3% and for David Freer becomes -9.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Isle of Man Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for David O'Neill is +11% and for David Freer is -7%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that David O'Neill is limited to +10% and David Freer is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David O'Neill: 68%, David Freer: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David O'Neill: 49%, David Freer: 62%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for David O'Neill: 1,734, level confidence: 49%.
Final level for David Freer: 1,453, level confidence: 62%.