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Cesar Salazar v Karim El Hammamy (Thu 18 Oct 2018)

Match won by Cesar Salazar. Result: 11-6,11-8,11-6.

Starting level for Cesar Salazar: 42,377, level confidence: 85%. Set manually.
Starting level for Karim El Hammamy: 24,900, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Cesar Salazar to win as he is currently playing 70% better than Karim El Hammamy.

Cesar Salazar won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Cesar Salazar played 65% better than Karim El Hammamy in this match.

In this case, Cesar Salazar played at level 41,085 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Karim El Hammamy is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Cesar Salazar: 92%, Karim El Hammamy: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Cesar Salazar: 91%, Karim El Hammamy: 84%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Cesar Salazar: 42,337, level confidence: 91%.
Final level for Karim El Hammamy: 24,941, level confidence: 84%.