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Jamie Reid v Duncan Whale (Wed 24 Oct 2018)

Match won by Jamie Reid. Result: 3-0.

Starting level for Jamie Reid: 674, level confidence: 70%.
Starting level for Duncan Whale: 791, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Duncan Whale to win as he is currently playing 17% better than Jamie Reid.

Jamie Reid won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jamie Reid actually played at a level of 966 and Duncan Whale at a level of 552. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 43% to match this result.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 21%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jamie Reid changes to +21% and Duncan Whale changes to -18%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jamie Reid becomes +11.6% and for Duncan Whale becomes -10.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Henley Internal League' so the adjustment for Jamie Reid is +5.8% and for Duncan Whale is -5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jamie Reid: 83%, Duncan Whale: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jamie Reid: 58%, Duncan Whale: 61%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jamie Reid: 712, level confidence: 58%.
Final level for Duncan Whale: 752, level confidence: 61%.