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Paul Nieduszynski v David White (Sun 28 Oct 2018)

Match won by Paul Nieduszynski. Result: 3-0.

Starting level for Paul Nieduszynski: 2,013, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Starting level for David White: 985, level confidence: 69%.
Paul Nieduszynski to win as he is currently playing 104% better than David White.

Paul Nieduszynski won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Paul Nieduszynski was taking it easy by anything up to 13%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 1,423 and 2,013 without affecting his level.

In this case, Paul Nieduszynski played at level 1,738 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Paul Nieduszynski would normally have been playing at level 1,752 (based on typical behaviour), David White played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 0.8%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 0.6% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 0.3%.

As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Paul Nieduszynski: 93%, David White: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Paul Nieduszynski: 86%, David White: 77%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Paul Nieduszynski: 2,010, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for David White: 984, level confidence: 77%.