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Shaun Mizen v Ramish Aziz (Tue 30 Oct 2018)

Match won by Shaun Mizen. Result: 15-7,15-12,15-9.

Starting level for Shaun Mizen: 2,571, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ramish Aziz: 1,475, level confidence: 63%.
Shaun Mizen to win as he is currently playing 74% better than Ramish Aziz.

Shaun Mizen won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 61% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Shaun Mizen played 61% better than Ramish Aziz in this match.

In this case, Shaun Mizen played at level 2,371 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Ramish Aziz is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Shaun Mizen: 89%, Ramish Aziz: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Shaun Mizen: 85%, Ramish Aziz: 76%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Shaun Mizen: 2,570, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Ramish Aziz: 1,475, level confidence: 76%.