SquashLevels calculations
Simon Staveley v Shaun Mizen (Mon 29 Oct 2018)
Match won by Shaun Mizen. Result: 7-15,11-15,11-15.
Starting level for
Simon Staveley:
1,551, level confidence: 16%.
Starting level for
Shaun Mizen:
2,573, level confidence: 67%.
Shaun Mizen to win as he is currently playing
66% better than Simon Staveley.
Shaun Mizen won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 55% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Shaun Mizen played
55% better than Simon Staveley in this match.
In this case, Shaun Mizen played at level 2,406 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Simon Staveley is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Shaun Mizen: 82%, Simon Staveley: 39%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Shaun Mizen: 79%, Simon Staveley: 38%.
Final level for Simon Staveley:
1,551, level confidence: 38%.
Final level for Shaun Mizen:
2,573, level confidence: 79%.