SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Lyndon Cheetham v Stuart Highy (Tue 13 Nov 2018)

Match won by Lyndon Cheetham. Result: 11-6,11-1.

Starting level for Lyndon Cheetham: 1,740, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for Stuart Highy: 858, level confidence: 65%.
Lyndon Cheetham to win as he is currently playing 103% better than Stuart Highy.

Lyndon Cheetham won all of the games and 76% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 214% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Lyndon Cheetham played 214% better than Stuart Highy in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Lyndon Cheetham actually played at a level of 2,166 and Stuart Highy at a level of 689. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 24% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 17% and 17% respectively.
As this is a best of 3 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 12% and 12% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Lyndon Cheetham changes to +10% and Stuart Highy changes to -12%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Lyndon Cheetham becomes +5.1% and for Stuart Highy becomes -7.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Isle of Man Douglas Open 2018' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Stuart Highy is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Lyndon Cheetham: 89%, Stuart Highy: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Lyndon Cheetham: 72%, Stuart Highy: 65%.

A final adjustment of +0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Lyndon Cheetham: 1,827, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Stuart Highy: 826, level confidence: 65%.