SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Lyndon Cheetham v Hamish Thornton (Thu 15 Nov 2018)

Match won by Hamish Thornton. Result: 11-5,5-11,5-11,6-11.

Starting level for Lyndon Cheetham: 2,011, level confidence: 56%.
Starting level for Hamish Thornton: 3,420, level confidence: 55%.
Hamish Thornton to win as he is currently playing 70% better than Lyndon Cheetham.

Hamish Thornton won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 41% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Hamish Thornton played 30% better than Lyndon Cheetham in this match.

As Hamish Thornton has played below his allowed range at 2,763, his level reduction is 5.5% before damping. On the assumption that Hamish Thornton would normally have been playing at level 3,158 (based on typical behaviour), Lyndon Cheetham played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 9.8%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 4.2% and 7.5% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Hamish Thornton changes to -4.2% and Lyndon Cheetham changes to +7.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Hamish Thornton becomes -2.4% and for Lyndon Cheetham becomes +3.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Isle of Man Douglas Open 2018' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Hamish Thornton: 74%, Lyndon Cheetham: 75%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Hamish Thornton: 65%, Lyndon Cheetham: 65%.

A final adjustment of +0.4% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Lyndon Cheetham: 2,087, level confidence: 65%.
Final level for Hamish Thornton: 3,375, level confidence: 65%.