SquashLevels calculations
Sorin Moise v Roger Booker (Tue 13 Nov 2018)
Match won by Sorin Moise. Result: 15-9,15-10,15-7.
Starting level for
Sorin Moise:
1,612, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Roger Booker:
877, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Sorin Moise to win as he is currently playing
84% better than Roger Booker.
Sorin Moise won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 73% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Sorin Moise played
73% better than Roger Booker in this match.
In this case, Sorin Moise played at level 1,518 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Roger Booker is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Sorin Moise: 90%, Roger Booker: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Sorin Moise: 87%, Roger Booker: 82%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Sorin Moise:
1,610, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Roger Booker:
876, level confidence: 82%.