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Lyndon Cheetham v Robin Crease (Fri 16 Nov 2018)

Match won by Robin Crease. Result: 7-11,8-11,9-11.

Starting level for Lyndon Cheetham: 2,147, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Robin Crease: 3,213, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Robin Crease to win as he is currently playing 50% better than Lyndon Cheetham.

Robin Crease won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 38% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Robin Crease played 43% better than Lyndon Cheetham in this match.

In this case, Robin Crease played at level 3,076 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Lyndon Cheetham is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Robin Crease: 88%, Lyndon Cheetham: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Robin Crease: 86%, Lyndon Cheetham: 86%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Lyndon Cheetham: 2,144, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for Robin Crease: 3,208, level confidence: 86%.