SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Benjamin Fischer v Nicolas Mueller (Thu 15 Nov 2018)

Match won by Nicolas Mueller. Result: 7-11,8-11,6-11.

Starting level for Benjamin Fischer: 14,540, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for Nicolas Mueller: 37,552, level confidence: 68%.
Nicolas Mueller to win as he is currently playing 158% better than Benjamin Fischer.

Nicolas Mueller won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nicolas Mueller played 56% better than Benjamin Fischer in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Nicolas Mueller was taking it easy by anything up to 20%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 22,964 and 37,552 without affecting his level.

As Nicolas Mueller has played below his allowed range at 22,855, his level reduction is 0.5% before damping. On the assumption that Nicolas Mueller would normally have been playing at level 30,179 (based on typical behaviour), Benjamin Fischer played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 15%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 9.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Nicolas Mueller changes to 0% and Benjamin Fischer changes to +9.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Nicolas Mueller becomes -0.1% and for Benjamin Fischer becomes +2.8%.

Given Nicolas Mueller's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 65% has been applied to his level change.

Given Benjamin Fischer's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 28% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Swiss Interclub 2018/19' so the adjustment for Nicolas Mueller is 0% and for Benjamin Fischer is +1.6%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nicolas Mueller: 83%, Benjamin Fischer: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nicolas Mueller: 64%, Benjamin Fischer: 62%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Benjamin Fischer: 14,811, level confidence: 62%.
Final level for Nicolas Mueller: 37,628, level confidence: 64%.