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Rick Scannell v Jeannie Engela (Sun 25 Nov 2018)

Match won by Rick Scannell. Result: 3-0.

Starting level for Rick Scannell: 266, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jeannie Engela: 175, level confidence: 86%. Set manually.
Rick Scannell to win as he is currently playing 52% better than Jeannie Engela.

Rick Scannell won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Rick Scannell actually played at a level of 285 and Jeannie Engela at a level of 163. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 7.3% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.9% and 5.9% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 3.3%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Rick Scannell changes to +3.3% and Jeannie Engela changes to -2.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Rick Scannell becomes +3.2% and for Jeannie Engela becomes -2.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Henley Internal League' so the adjustment for Rick Scannell is +1.6% and for Jeannie Engela is -1.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rick Scannell: 85%, Jeannie Engela: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rick Scannell: 80%, Jeannie Engela: 86%.

A final adjustment of -0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Rick Scannell: 270, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Jeannie Engela: 172, level confidence: 86%.