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Eain Yow Ng v Joshua Masters (Wed 21 Nov 2018)

Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 7-11,11-8,11-4,11-9.

Starting level for Eain Yow Ng: 34,995, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for Joshua Masters: 34,262, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing 2% better than Joshua Masters.

Eain Yow Ng won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 25% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played 25% better than Joshua Masters in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Eain Yow Ng actually played at a level of 38,714 and Joshua Masters at a level of 30,971. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 10.6% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng changes to +10.5% and Joshua Masters changes to -8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng becomes +2.6% and for Joshua Masters becomes -2.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Hong Kong Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 78%, Joshua Masters: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 71%, Joshua Masters: 80%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Eain Yow Ng: 35,828, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Joshua Masters: 33,644, level confidence: 80%.