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Tsz Fung Yip v George Parker (Wed 21 Nov 2018)

Match won by Tsz Fung Yip. Result: 14-12,7-11,8-11,11-5,11-9.

Starting level for Tsz Fung Yip: 40,513, level confidence: 64%.
Starting level for George Parker: 38,883, level confidence: 65%.
Tsz Fung Yip to win as he is currently playing 4% better than George Parker.

Tsz Fung Yip won 60% of the games and 52% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 6% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tsz Fung Yip played 9% better than George Parker in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Tsz Fung Yip actually played at a level of 41,449 and George Parker at a level of 38,005. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 2.3% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tsz Fung Yip changes to +2.3% and George Parker changes to -2.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tsz Fung Yip becomes +0.9% and for George Parker becomes -0.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Hong Kong Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tsz Fung Yip: 80%, George Parker: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tsz Fung Yip: 78%, George Parker: 79%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tsz Fung Yip: 40,798, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for George Parker: 38,658, level confidence: 79%.