SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Nick Hiley v David Jackson (Tue 27 Nov 2018)

Match won by David Jackson. Result: 11-9,10-12,11-6,5-11,4-11.

Starting level for Nick Hiley: 4,147, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for David Jackson: 4,163, level confidence: 46%.
David Jackson to win as he is currently playing 0% better than Nick Hiley.

David Jackson won 60% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 20% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David Jackson played 12% better than Nick Hiley in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like David Jackson actually played at a level of 4,405 and Nick Hiley at a level of 3,919. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 5.8% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for David Jackson changes to +5.8% and Nick Hiley changes to -4.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for David Jackson becomes +2.7% and for Nick Hiley becomes -2.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Durham & Cleveland Mens Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for David Jackson is +2% and for Nick Hiley is -1.6%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David Jackson: 68%, Nick Hiley: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David Jackson: 64%, Nick Hiley: 76%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Nick Hiley: 4,074, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for David Jackson: 4,241, level confidence: 64%.