SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Liam Davies v Liam Quinn (Fri 11 Jan 2019)

Match won by Liam Davies. Result: 11-7,11-5,8-11,12-10.

Starting level for Liam Davies: 1,390, level confidence: 60%.
Starting level for Liam Quinn: 790, level confidence: 28%.
Liam Davies to win as he is currently playing 76% better than Liam Quinn.

Liam Davies won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 27% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Liam Davies played 26% better than Liam Quinn in this match.

As Liam Davies has played below his allowed range at 1,075, his level reduction is 8.2% before damping. On the assumption that Liam Davies would normally have been playing at level 1,271 (based on typical behaviour), Liam Quinn played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 13%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 6.1% and 9.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Liam Davies changes to -2.7% and Liam Quinn changes to +9.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Liam Davies becomes -2.4% and for Liam Quinn becomes +6.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Isle of Man Iom Elite Players 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Liam Davies: 77%, Liam Quinn: 52%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Liam Davies: 65%, Liam Quinn: 44%.

A final adjustment of +0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Liam Davies: 1,372, level confidence: 65%.
Final level for Liam Quinn: 839, level confidence: 44%.