SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Steve Baker v Lyndon Cheetham (Sun 13 Jan 2019)

Match won by Steve Baker. Result: 15-11,13-15,15-10,15-4.

Starting level for Steve Baker: 2,317, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for Lyndon Cheetham: 2,141, level confidence: 67%.
Steve Baker to win as he is currently playing 8% better than Lyndon Cheetham.

Steve Baker won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 45% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Steve Baker played 32% better than Lyndon Cheetham in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Steve Baker actually played at a level of 2,555 and Lyndon Cheetham at a level of 1,942. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 10.3% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Steve Baker changes to +9.3% and Lyndon Cheetham changes to -9.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Steve Baker becomes +4.4% and for Lyndon Cheetham becomes -4.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Isle of Man Iom Masters 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Steve Baker: 85%, Lyndon Cheetham: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Steve Baker: 77%, Lyndon Cheetham: 74%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Steve Baker: 2,416, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Lyndon Cheetham: 2,040, level confidence: 74%.