SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Robin Crease v Ashley Sandyford-Sykes (Mon 14 Jan 2019)

Match won by Ashley Sandyford-Sykes. Result: 11-5,3-11,9-11,4-11.

Starting level for Robin Crease: 3,239, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes: 4,411, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Ashley Sandyford-Sykes to win as he is currently playing 36% better than Robin Crease.

Ashley Sandyford-Sykes won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 41% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ashley Sandyford-Sykes played 30% better than Robin Crease in this match.

In this case, Ashley Sandyford-Sykes played at level 4,247 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Ashley Sandyford-Sykes would normally have been playing at level 4,278 (based on typical behaviour), Robin Crease played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 0.7%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 0.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes changes to 0% and Robin Crease changes to +0.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes becomes 0% and for Robin Crease becomes +0.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Isle of Man Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes is 0% and for Robin Crease is +0.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ashley Sandyford-Sykes: 86%, Robin Crease: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ashley Sandyford-Sykes: 84%, Robin Crease: 84%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Robin Crease: 3,244, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes: 4,404, level confidence: 84%.