SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Ray Owens v Alistair Robbie (Wed 16 Jan 2019)

Match won by Ray Owens. Result: 3-2.

Starting level for Ray Owens: 254, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Starting level for Alistair Robbie: 200, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Ray Owens to win as he is currently playing 27% better than Alistair Robbie.

Ray Owens won 60% of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

As Ray Owens has played below his allowed range at 231, his level reduction is 4.9% before damping. On the assumption that Ray Owens would normally have been playing at level 249 (based on typical behaviour), Alistair Robbie played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 6.4%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 4.4% and 5.7% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 5.2%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ray Owens changes to -3.3% and Alistair Robbie changes to +5.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ray Owens becomes -3.2% and for Alistair Robbie becomes +4.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Henley Internal League' so the adjustment for Ray Owens is -1.6% and for Alistair Robbie is +2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ray Owens: 94%, Alistair Robbie: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ray Owens: 88%, Alistair Robbie: 80%.

Final level for Ray Owens: 250, level confidence: 88%.
Final level for Alistair Robbie: 204, level confidence: 80%.