SquashLevels calculations
Dean Sowerby v David O'Neill (Thu 17 Jan 2019)
Match won by David O'Neill. Result: 7-15,10-15,12-15.
Starting level for
Dean Sowerby:
1,081, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for
David O'Neill:
1,711, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
David O'Neill to win as he is currently playing
58% better than Dean Sowerby.
David O'Neill won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 55% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David O'Neill played
55% better than Dean Sowerby in this match.
In this case, David O'Neill played at level 1,677 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Dean Sowerby is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David O'Neill: 90%, Dean Sowerby: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David O'Neill: 89%, Dean Sowerby: 80%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Dean Sowerby:
1,079, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for David O'Neill:
1,708, level confidence: 89%.