SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Joel Makin v Joshua Masters (Sat 19 Jan 2019)

Match won by Joel Makin. Result: 11-3,11-2,8-11,12-10.

Starting level for Joel Makin: 54,504, level confidence: 50%.
Starting level for Joshua Masters: 30,071, level confidence: 62%.
Joel Makin to win as he is currently playing 81% better than Joshua Masters.

Joel Makin won 75% of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 62% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joel Makin played 37% better than Joshua Masters in this match.

As Joel Makin has played below his allowed range at 42,966, his level reduction is 4.2% before damping. On the assumption that Joel Makin would normally have been playing at level 49,410 (based on typical behaviour), Joshua Masters played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 9.5%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 3.1% and 7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Joel Makin changes to -3.1% and Joshua Masters changes to +5.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Joel Makin becomes -1.1% and for Joshua Masters becomes +1.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Tournament Of Champions' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joel Makin: 70%, Joshua Masters: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joel Makin: 61%, Joshua Masters: 69%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joel Makin: 53,801, level confidence: 61%.
Final level for Joshua Masters: 30,689, level confidence: 69%.