Rick Scannell v Justin Buch (Tue 29 Jan 2019)
Match won by Rick Scannell. Result: 3-0.
Starting level for
Rick Scannell:
282, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Justin Buch:
171, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Rick Scannell to win as he is currently playing
65% better than Justin Buch.
Rick Scannell won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.
Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Rick Scannell actually played at a level of
290 and Justin Buch at a level of
166. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 3% to match this result.
Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.3% and 2.3% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 1.3%.
As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rick Scannell: 88%, Justin Buch: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rick Scannell: 85%, Justin Buch: 82%.
Final level for Rick Scannell:
282, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Justin Buch:
171, level confidence: 82%.