SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Paul Coll v Nick Mulvey (Thu 31 Jan 2019)

Match won by Paul Coll. Result: 11-4,11-4,11-5.

Starting level for Paul Coll: 53,260, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Starting level for Nick Mulvey: 17,168, level confidence: 65%.
Paul Coll to win as he is currently playing 210% better than Nick Mulvey.

Paul Coll won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Paul Coll played 154% better than Nick Mulvey in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Paul Coll was taking it easy by anything up to 26%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 29,541 and 53,260 without affecting his level.

In this case, Paul Coll played at level 43,580 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Nick Mulvey is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Paul Coll: 91%, Nick Mulvey: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Paul Coll: 83%, Nick Mulvey: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Paul Coll: 53,180, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Nick Mulvey: 17,142, level confidence: 73%.