SquashLevels calculations
James Willstrop v Patrick Rooney (Fri 01 Feb 2019)
Match won by James Willstrop. Result: 12-10,11-4,11-9.
Starting level for
James Willstrop:
42,932, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for
Patrick Rooney:
27,858, level confidence: 84%. Set manually.
James Willstrop to win as he is currently playing
54% better than Patrick Rooney.
James Willstrop won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 48% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that James Willstrop played
50% better than Patrick Rooney in this match.
In this case, James Willstrop played at level 41,841 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Patrick Rooney is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Willstrop: 78%, Patrick Rooney: 92%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Willstrop: 77%, Patrick Rooney: 91%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for James Willstrop:
42,982, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Patrick Rooney:
27,968, level confidence: 91%.