SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Peter Richardson v Jason Savell (Tue 12 Feb 2019)

Match won by Peter Richardson. Result: 15-9,15-13,10-15,16-14.

Starting level for Peter Richardson: 2,322, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jason Savell: 2,352, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Jason Savell to win as he is currently playing 1% better than Peter Richardson.

Peter Richardson won 75% of the games and 52% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 10% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Peter Richardson played 20% better than Jason Savell in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Peter Richardson actually played at a level of 2,560 and Jason Savell at a level of 2,133. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 10.2% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Peter Richardson changes to +10.2% and Jason Savell changes to -9.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Peter Richardson becomes +4.7% and for Jason Savell becomes -4.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Surrey Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for Peter Richardson is +3.6% and for Jason Savell is -3.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Peter Richardson: 84%, Jason Savell: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Peter Richardson: 76%, Jason Savell: 80%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Peter Richardson: 2,401, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Jason Savell: 2,274, level confidence: 80%.